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Obama plays his $1 trillion card

By Stephen Foley in New York

The long-awaited $1 trillion plan to restore the toxic US banking system to health triggered a bout of frenzied buying on stock markets around the world, as investors bet that the Obama administration is now sketching a road map out of the credit crisis.

Tentative signs of stability in the US housing market, at the heart of the financial crisis, added to a rare sense of optimism that the long economic chill might be thawing. While plenty of sceptical voices were trying to be heard yesterday, buoyant investors said the rescue plan puts in place an essential building block for a recovery. By the end of the day the Dow Jones Industrial Average in New York had soared to close 6.84 per cent up, the fifth biggest day rise in its history.

Tim Geithner, Barack Obama's embattled Treasury Secretary, who had been derided for the lack of detail when he announced the outlines of his strategy to tackle the credit crisis last month, put flesh on the bones of his rescue plan yesterday. The US government put up matching funds and hundreds of billions of dollars in debt to help private investors buy the toxic loans that have been clogging bank balance sheets. In all, $1trn (£680bn) could be put to work to rid banks of these assets, freeing them up to start lending again. "This is perhaps the first win/win/win policy to be put on the table and it should be welcomed enthusiastically," said Bill Gross, the bond investor who heads Pimco, a California fund manager. Not only would the scheme relieve the doubts surrounding the solvency of the banking system, he said, but investors – and the US taxpayer – would make a tidy profit.

Most of the assets are bundles of mortgages written during the housing boom and whose value will keep going down as long as house prices are falling and foreclosures are rising. The Geithner plan is aimed at encouraging investors to buy the assets, pumping cash into the banks which decide to sell.



Video: Guillaume Meyer on the impact of Geithner's new Toxic Asset plan

The plan is the latest piece in a jigsaw of initiatives to reboot the economy, and members of the administration have argued it is even more important that the $787bn economic stimulus package pushed through Congress last month. Struggling homeowners are getting subsidies to pay their mortgages and the credit markets have been flooded with trillions of dollars from the Federal Reserve, to bring down interest rates.

"We've already taken a bunch of actions to help get mortgage interest rates down, to help millions of Americans refinance their homes, to take advantage of lower interest rates," said Mr Geithner. "All these things are designed to help get credit flowing again at lower cost to businesses and families across the country."

Lower mortgage rates and much lower house prices appear to be stimulating the housing market. Sales of second-hand homes rose unexpectedly strongly last month, according to a report yesterday, rising 5 per cent. Investors said rising stock markets and a more stable housing market could encourage consumers to start spending again. That in turn would make businesses less likely to fire staff, and an end to the recession could come into view later this year. The US economy has been in recession since December 2007, and unemployment passed 8 per cent in February.

Stock markets in other countries, which have followed the US into recession, also surged yesterday. The FTSE 100 index of leading UK shares was up almost 3 per cent, but it had closed before the buying frenzy reached its peak in New York. Wags described the reaction as a bailout for Mr Geithner. Criticism of his performance "comes with the job", the Treasury Secretary said yesterday, adding that he was focused on restoring order to the financial system.

From France 24

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toxic debt/bank debt
[info]valkry52 wrote:
Tuesday, 24 March 2009 at 01:34 am (UTC)
It is unfair and unjust that banks and lending institutions encouraged and offered credit to millions of people worldwide which they knew would never be able to pay back those loans, whether it be home loans or extended credit card, make all the billions of profits over the last ten years, then call broke when it comes back to bite them, then holds the world to ransom and are propped up with money hard earned by tax payers which are now struggling to keep their jobs and homes, because the very institutes that are taking their hard earned taxes are the very ones that caused the problem.
And they need to be answerable to the people who are giving them money they are not entitled to, they should be restricted to use that money to undo the damage they have done, and this is not to pay out contracts they are bound to.
Nice try, but not true
[info]someofusknow wrote:
Tuesday, 24 March 2009 at 01:56 am (UTC)
the US housing market, at the heart of the financial crisis.

Nice try, but not true. America's major problem is the over-consumption of energy and resources, on the back of ever-increasing debt, based on the absurd notion that something can be obtained for nothing. It therefore follows that this latest piece of lunacy to stimulate consumption can only be expected make matters worse and create yet another short term financial bubble, which will undoubtedly burst once the punters realise it is based on nothing but 'printed' money and imagined wealth.

However, making the numbers look good in the short term and ignoring the root causes of the problem is all that really concerns the average politiican, and Obama has demonstrated he is no different from all the others who practice the politics of failure.

With the Peak Oil time bomb fuse now burning furiously and oil on the rise again, it will be interesting to see how long Obama can keep the chirade going.
Re: Nice try, but not true
[info]westhamsterdam wrote:
Tuesday, 24 March 2009 at 08:50 am (UTC)
Perhaps there are no answers to this definately in the short term any way. It's all shades of 1929 accumulating in a massive crash going into Q4. The key thing that is needed is to make money more expensive to make people save it's one of the most indebted nations on earth along with the UK & Spain. How much longer are the likes of China & the Middle East going to keep buying US debt?

You're right the problem is very clear to us ordinary folk but not to the politicans, you have to bring down consumer debt gradually not heap more debt upon them. This is very much a debt crisis not a credit crisis. The crisis is all about Neo Conservative economics of the past 30 years.

I think the real problems will begin when the UK & US follow Spain & lose its AAA rating. It's totally beyond me how the UK will ever pay back all this debt.
Re: Nice try, but not true
[info]someofusknow wrote:
Tuesday, 24 March 2009 at 11:47 am (UTC)
'How much longer are the likes of China & the Middle East going to keep buying US debt?'

Not much longer, judging by the very loud rumblings coming out of China recently and the suggestion that a new international reserve currency system should be established. Once that happens, America will be 'toast'.

The name of the game is not to ever pay back the debt, but to manipulate matters so the debt does not have to be repaid in full -massive devaluation, hyperinlfation or starting another world war are distict probabilities.
Life is a dream
[info]mackname wrote:
Tuesday, 24 March 2009 at 06:28 am (UTC)

Recession? What recession!
It is a game you stupid!
Win/win/win for the fat cats, lose/lose/lose for the rest of us
[info]findempire wrote:
Tuesday, 24 March 2009 at 11:10 am (UTC)
Geithner is basically telling the funds he'll lend them money to gamble on toxic trash and cover their losses if the trash doesn't miraculously turn to gold. Why doesn't he give us all some money to shoot crap and bet on the track with? If anyone expects the money ladled out to trickle down to Main Street and get the real estate bubble going again, thereby rescuing the mortgage-based junk assets, he's got another think coming. Today's blip on the Dow will quickly revert to the bear market of short-sellers as soon as they judge the moment opportune to make a new killing. Playing the downside is the only way anybody makes money these days. Today's irrational exuberance will quickly dissipate into gloom and doom once again. We're in a depression. No measly trillion-dollar shot of Red Bull is going to change that and investors will continue to behave as investors do during a depression: They won't lend and they won't buy except to momentarily bump up the price to sell short. Ultimately, the trillion dollars will just feed deflation, as short-sellers drive prices into the ground, including the real estate prices that the toxic junk assets are based on. More companies will go bust and more jobs will be lost than if Geithner never revived Paulson's rejected "cash for trash" plan. In fact we would all be better off if Obama, Geithner, and SUmmers were never born. The potential for destruction that those three represent is truly scary.
Gloom gloom gloom
[info]mark1928 wrote:
Tuesday, 24 March 2009 at 02:16 pm (UTC)
How typically European all these comments are. Everyone's to blame. Nobody is going to save us. Obama is a fraud.

It amazes me the Americans bother with us at all. If I was an American President I'd build a massive wall around the U.S. and let Europe sink into it's own quagmire of bickering, genocide, gloom misery and war.

Bring on WWIII but this time please can the U.S. stay out of it. Meantime I'll learn Russian or Chinese!...

Then we Europeans can have the non-American dominated world and save us from death by moaning.

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